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What would it take?

Pick a technology and a quantity. The calculator multiplies out the material bill and puts each total next to the entire world’s annual production of that material — which is usually the number that changes how the answer feels.

1,000,000 × Single-Crystal Turbine Blade — A turbine blade grown as one continuous crystal so it has no grain boundaries to creep along.

Quantities are per blade set indicative range tonnes of contained material

Scroll the table sideways for the remaining columns.

MaterialPer unit Total, lowTotal, high World annual productionShare of a year’s supply
Cobalt trace not published
Hafnium trace not published
Nickel Typically 60% or more of the alloy. trace not published
Rhenium A few percent of a metal produced in tens of tonnes a year worldwide. trace not published
Tantalum trace not published
Yttrium trace not published

Intensity ranges are indicative, compiled from published technology studies and chemistry — not a manufacturer specification. World production is USGS Mineral Commodity Summaries 2026, 2025 (estimated), converted to tonnes of the same basis where the source reports thousands of tonnes or kilograms · source ↗. This is an educational order-of-magnitude tool. It is not a procurement estimate and must not be used as one.

The last column is the one worth staring at. If building something at scale would take a double-digit share of a whole year of world supply, that material — not the design — is the real constraint.

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